We Turn Financial Uncertainty Into Strategic Advantage
Since 2019, we've been helping Australian businesses replace guesswork with grounded analysis. Our approach isn't about crystal balls—it's about understanding what your data actually tells you and what you can reasonably expect down the track.
Started From Real Frustration
Back in March 2019, our founder Elspeth Dunbar was working with mid-sized manufacturers around Geelong who kept making the same planning mistakes. They'd overcommit on expansion, underestimate seasonal dips, or miss obvious trends in their own sales data.
The problem wasn't lack of information—they were drowning in spreadsheets. They just needed someone to make sense of it all without the fancy jargon or unrealistic projections.
So we built something different. A consulting approach that treats forecasting like what it is—careful analysis of patterns, not fortune telling. We look at what happened, why it happened, and what's likely to happen if conditions stay similar.
What Keeps Us Honest
Reality Over Optimism
We'd rather tell you what's probable than what sounds impressive. Your planning needs truth, not aspirational thinking dressed up as analysis.
Context Matters
A forecast without understanding your industry, market position, and operational constraints is just numbers on a screen. We dig into what makes your business tick.
Transparent Process
You'll know exactly how we arrived at our projections. No black box algorithms or mysterious methodologies—just clear reasoning you can follow.
How We Actually Work
Data Archaeology
We start by digging through your historical performance—not just revenue, but the operational metrics that drive it. What were you doing when things went well? What warning signs got missed before rough patches?
Pattern Recognition
Then we look for the repeating rhythms in your business. Seasonal fluctuations, customer behavior cycles, the lag between marketing spend and revenue impact. The stuff that's predictable if you know what to watch.
Scenario Building
We develop multiple futures—not just best case and worst case, but realistic variations based on different assumptions. What if that new competitor sticks around? What if material costs climb another 15%?
Ongoing Calibration
Forecasts need updates as reality unfolds. We check our projections against actual results quarterly and adjust the models when the market shifts or your operations change.
Who's Behind The Numbers
Our team brings together financial analysts, industry specialists, and business advisors who've all spent years in operational roles. We're not academics theorizing about business—we've run departments, managed budgets, and dealt with the consequences of bad forecasts.
Elspeth Dunbar
Elspeth spent twelve years as CFO for a regional manufacturing group before starting velorinthiqe. She got tired of watching good businesses make preventable mistakes because their financial projections were either too conservative or wildly optimistic.
Her background spans manufacturing, retail distribution, and professional services—which means she's seen how different business models respond to economic shifts. That perspective shapes how we approach each client's unique situation.
Our Promise to Your Business
We won't guarantee specific outcomes—that would be dishonest. But we can promise you'll get forecasts grounded in your actual data, presented in plain language, with clear explanations of the assumptions behind them.
You'll understand not just what we think will happen, but why we think it and what could change that trajectory. That's the foundation for making confident decisions even when the future's uncertain.
